Civometry

OBR · 8 May 2015 – 9 June 2017

Unemployment forecasts during the Conservative 2015–2017 government

2014 → 2016 · 2 periods

↓ 20.8%−1.3% per cent

Unemployment forecasts fell by 20.8% over the period, from 6.2% per cent (2014, the level when the government took office) to 4.9% (2016, the last complete period before it left office).

  1. Inherited level 2014: 6.2%
  2. Level when it left 2016: 4.9%
  3. method: latest complete period before start / before end

Changes during this period do not by themselves show what the government caused. Statistics reflect many influences, including earlier decisions, the economy and how the data is collected.

Unemployment forecasts: 2009 to 2024LabourCoalitionCoalitionConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabour0%2.5%5%7.5%2010201520202009: 7.6% per cent · published 26 March 20262010: 7.9% per cent · published 26 March 20262011: 8.1% per cent · published 26 March 20262012: 8% per cent · published 26 March 20262013: 7.6% per cent · published 26 March 20262014: 6.2% per cent · published 26 March 20262015: 5.4% per cent · published 26 March 20262016: 4.9% per cent · published 26 March 20262017: 4.4% per cent · published 26 March 20262018: 4.1% per cent · published 26 March 20262019: 3.8% per cent · published 26 March 20262020: 4.6% per cent · published 26 March 20262021: 4.5% per cent · published 26 March 20262022: 3.8% per cent · published 26 March 20262023: 4% per cent · published 26 March 20262024: 4.3% per cent · published 26 March 2026
Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover or use arrow keys to read a value

Definition and caveats

The ILO unemployment rate averaged over each calendar year: the outturn as the OBR last knew it, with every official forecast for the same year.

Doesn’t measure: The claimant count, economic inactivity, or the number of people unemployed.