149 findings across 119 series
Trend breaks
Where a series has just departed from what came before: the first fall in years, a reversal after a long run, the largest annual move in the series, a value at the top or bottom of everything published. Each finding names the rule that produced it and how far back it looked. A departure is a departure; the page does not call it a turning point, and does not judge it.
First fall sinceFirst rise sinceReversal after a runLargest annual move sinceUnusually large annual moveHighest in the seriesLowest in the series
First fall since 11
The latest period-on-period move is a fall, and the last fall was at least three years and two years' worth of periods ago; every move between rose or was unchanged.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spending on education, real termsHM Treasury | £125.7bnYear ending March 2026 | down 1.2% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2017; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20179 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Enforced returnsHome Office | 9,669Year ending June 2026 | down 2.4% on 2025 | the first annual fall since 2021; every move between rose or was unchanged | 20216 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Visitor visas grantedHome Office | 2,185,158Year ending June 2026 | down 2.4% on 2025 | the first annual fall since 2021; every move between rose or was unchanged | 20216 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Earnings growth forecastsOBR | 5.1%2024 | down 1.1 points on 2023 | the first annual fall since 2020; every move between rose or was unchanged | 20204 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Borrowing since 1900, per cent of GDPOBR | 4.2%Year ending March 2026 | down 0.9 points on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Change in average Band D council taxMHCLG | 5%Year ending March 2026 | down 0.1 points on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 25 March 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of all crime (excluding fraud)ONS | 4,333,000Year ending March 2026 | down 5.7% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of theftONS | 2,628,000Year ending March 2026 | down 6.2% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Crown Court open casesMinistry of Justice | 80,0612026 Q1 | down 0.0% on 2025 Q4 | the first quarterly fall since 2023 Q1; every move between rose or was unchanged | 2023 Q112 periods | 25 June 2026 |
| Education spending as a share of GDPHM Treasury | 4.1%Year ending March 2026 | down 0.1 points on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual fall since Year ending March 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| People entering immigration detentionHome Office | 22,037Year ending June 2026 | down 4.5% on 2025 | the first annual fall since 2023; every move between rose or was unchanged | 20234 periods | 27 August 2026 |
First rise since 9
The latest move is a rise, and the last rise was at least three years and two years' worth of periods ago; every move between fell or was unchanged.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel duty receiptsHMRC | £24.6bnYear ending March 2026 | up 0.8% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2022; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20224 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Capital Gains Tax receiptsHMRC | £24.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 77.6% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| GDP growth forecastsOBR | 1.1%2024 | up 0.8 points on 2023 | the first annual rise since 2021; every move between fell or was unchanged | 20213 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Inflation forecastsOBR | 3.4%2025 | up 0.8 points on 2024 | the first annual rise since 2022; every move between fell or was unchanged | 20223 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Spending on economic affairsHM Treasury | £94bnYear ending March 2026 | up 6.8% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on general public servicesHM Treasury | £165.5bnYear ending March 2026 | up 3.3% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on public sector debt interestHM Treasury | £130.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 3.0% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Total managed expenditure as a share of GDPHM Treasury | 44.3%Year ending March 2026 | up 0.3 points on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Violence against the person (police-recorded)ONS | 1,962,413Year ending March 2026 | up 1.3% on Year ending March 2025 | the first annual rise since Year ending March 2023; every move between fell or was unchanged | Year ending March 20233 periods | 23 July 2026 |
Reversal after a run 16
The latest move runs against a run of at least three consecutive moves the other way.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crown Court open casesMinistry of Justice | 80,0612026 Q1 | down 0.0% on 2025 Q4 | a fall after 11 consecutive quarterly rises | 2023 Q112 periods | 25 June 2026 |
| Spending on education, real termsHM Treasury | £125.7bnYear ending March 2026 | down 1.2% on Year ending March 2025 | a fall after 8 consecutive annual rises | Year ending March 20179 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Enforced returnsHome Office | 9,669Year ending June 2026 | down 2.4% on 2025 | a fall after 5 consecutive annual rises | 20216 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Public sector net debtONS | £2.98tnJuly 2026 | down 0.3% on June 2026 | a fall after 5 consecutive monthly rises | January 20266 periods | 20 August 2026 |
| Public sector net debt as a share of GDPONS | 94.1%July 2026 | down 0.5 points on June 2026 | a fall after 5 consecutive monthly rises | January 20266 periods | 20 August 2026 |
| Visitor visas grantedHome Office | 2,185,158Year ending June 2026 | down 2.4% on 2025 | a fall after 5 consecutive annual rises | 20216 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: communication (division 08)ONS | 149.6July 2026 | down 0.1% on June 2026 | a fall after 4 consecutive monthly rises | February 20265 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: recreation and culture (division 09)ONS | 136.3July 2026 | down 0.1% on June 2026 | a fall after 4 consecutive monthly rises | February 20265 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Prison population on remandMinistry of Justice | 15,386June 2026 | up 0.6% on May 2026 | a rise after 4 consecutive monthly falls | January 20265 periods | 30 July 2026 |
| A&E four-hour standardNHS England | 75.4%July 2026 | up 0.4 points on June 2026 | a rise after 3 consecutive monthly falls | March 20264 periods | 13 August 2026 |
| Council investments heldMHCLG | £47.6bn2026 Q2 | up 19.8% on 2026 Q1 | a rise after 3 consecutive quarterly falls | 2025 Q24 periods | 3 September 2026 |
| Debt interest paidONS | £10.3bnJuly 2026 | down 28.5% on June 2026 | a fall after 3 consecutive monthly rises | March 20264 periods | 20 August 2026 |
| Earnings growth forecastsOBR | 5.1%2024 | down 1.1 points on 2023 | a fall after 3 consecutive annual rises | 20204 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Fuel duty receiptsHMRC | £24.6bnYear ending March 2026 | up 0.8% on Year ending March 2025 | a rise after 3 consecutive annual falls | Year ending March 20224 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| People claiming unemployment-related benefitsONS | 1,690,970July 2026 | up 1.1% on June 2026 | a rise after 3 consecutive monthly falls | March 20264 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| People entering immigration detentionHome Office | 22,037Year ending June 2026 | down 4.5% on 2025 | a fall after 3 consecutive annual rises | 20234 periods | 27 August 2026 |
Largest annual move since 32
The latest year-on-year change is larger than every earlier year-on-year change of the same sign back at least five years, or in the whole series.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asylum claimsHome Office | 85,891Year ending June 2026 | down 20.9% on Year ending June 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2005, across 42 year-on-year changes | 198442 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Band D council tax in ScotlandScottish Government | £1,543Year ending March 2026 | up 8.8% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 1998, across 29 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 199729 periods | 31 March 2026 |
| Disability benefits caseloadDWP | 6,531,000Year ending March 2025 | up 9.6% on Year ending March 2024 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 1996, across 51 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 197451 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Public sector receipts since 1900, per cent of GDPOBR | 40.1%Year ending March 2026 | up 1.3 points on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 1998, across 125 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 1901125 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Capital Gains Tax receiptsHMRC | £24.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 77.6% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007, across 19 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 200719 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| National Insurance receiptsHMRC | £200.8bnYear ending March 2026 | up 16.4% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007, across 19 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 200719 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Asylum backlogHome Office | 40,168Year ending June 2026 | down 55.8% on Year ending June 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall in the series, which begins in 2010, across 16 year-on-year changes | 201016 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Asylum seekers receiving supportHome Office | 93,293Year ending June 2026 | down 12.0% on Year ending June 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall in the series, which begins in 2010, across 16 year-on-year changes | 201016 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| National Insurance forecastsOBR | £171.4bnYear ending March 2025 | down 4.3% on Year ending March 2024 | the largest year-on-year fall in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2009, across 16 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 200916 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| State Pension caseloadDWP | 12,987,000Year ending March 2025 | up 1.7% on Year ending March 2024 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 2010, across 69 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 195669 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Persistent absenceDepartment for Education | 18.1%2024/25 academic year | down 1.8 points on 2023/24 academic year | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2013/14 academic year, across 16 year-on-year changes | 2006/07 academic year16 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Pupils persistently absentDepartment for Education | 1,340,4372024/25 academic year | down 9.9% on 2023/24 academic year | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2013/14 academic year, across 16 year-on-year changes | 2006/07 academic year16 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of violenceONS | 989,000Year ending March 2026 | down 10.3% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2016, across 21 year-on-year changes | 198121 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Pupils in primary school classesDepartment for Education | 3,974,1322025/26 academic year | down 2.7% on 2024/25 academic year | the largest year-on-year fall in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year, across 10 year-on-year changes | 2015/16 academic year10 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Pupils in secondary school classesDepartment for Education | 3,359,9272025/26 academic year | down 0.3% on 2024/25 academic year | the largest year-on-year fall in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year, across 10 year-on-year changes | 2015/16 academic year10 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Pupils with an EHC plan, shareDepartment for Education | 6%2025/26 academic year | up 0.7 points on 2024/25 academic year | the largest year-on-year rise in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year, across 10 year-on-year changes | 2015/16 academic year10 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Carer's Allowance caseloadDWP | 1,325,000Year ending March 2025 | up 5.3% on Year ending March 2024 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 2016, across 46 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 194946 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Crimes and offences recorded in Scotland per 10,000 peopleScottish Government | 568.5Year ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2017, across 9 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 20179 periods | 23 June 2026 |
| Crimes recorded by the police in ScotlandScottish Government | 315,357Year ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2017, across 9 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 20179 periods | 23 June 2026 |
| Household income forecastsOBR | 4.1%2024 | up 3.2 points on 2023 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to 2015, across 15 year-on-year changes | 200915 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Spending on education, real termsHM Treasury | £125.7bnYear ending March 2026 | down 1.2% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2017, across 23 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 200323 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of all crime (excluding fraud)ONS | 4,333,000Year ending March 2026 | down 5.7% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2020, across 21 year-on-year changes | 198121 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of theftONS | 2,628,000Year ending March 2026 | down 6.2% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2020, across 21 year-on-year changes | 198121 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Asylum refusals by nationalityHome Office | 12,9702026 Q2 | down 33.5% on 2025 Q2 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2021 Q4, across 98 year-on-year changes | 2001 Q198 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Average primary class sizeDepartment for Education | 26.12025/26 academic year | down 1.2% on 2024/25 academic year | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2020/21 academic year, across 10 year-on-year changes | 2015/16 academic year10 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Average secondary class sizeDepartment for Education | 22.62025/26 academic year | up 0.4% on 2024/25 academic year | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to 2020/21 academic year, across 10 year-on-year changes | 2015/16 academic year10 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Custody rateMinistry of Justice | 7.5%Year ending March 2026 | up 0.6 points on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year rise since the year to Year ending March 2021, across 10 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 201610 periods | 30 July 2026 |
| Entry clearance visas refusedHome Office | 155,4682026 Q2 | down 10.6% on 2025 Q2 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2021 Q1, across 82 year-on-year changes | 2005 Q182 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Housing support caseloadDWP | 2,072,000Year ending March 2025 | down 11.9% on Year ending March 2024 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2020, across 46 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 197946 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Theft offences (police-recorded)ONS | 1,637,773Year ending March 2026 | down 7.9% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2021, across 127 year-on-year changes | 1898127 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Vehicle offences (police-recorded)ONS | 312,250Year ending March 2026 | down 10.8% on Year ending March 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to Year ending March 2021, across 23 year-on-year changes | Year ending March 200323 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Visitor visas grantedHome Office | 2,185,158Year ending June 2026 | down 1.5% on Year ending June 2025 | the largest year-on-year fall since the year to 2021, across 12 year-on-year changes | 201412 periods | 27 August 2026 |
Unusually large annual move 1
The latest year-on-year change is at least two standard deviations from the mean of the series' own year-on-year changes (ten or more of them).
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&E four-hour standardNHS England | 75.4%July 2026 | down 1.0 point on July 2025 | 2.0 standard deviations from the mean of the 26 year-on-year changes in the series, which begins in June 2023 | June 202326 periods | 13 August 2026 |
Highest in the series 71
The latest value is the highest of every period in the series since its last methodology break; the series' start is named.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&E attendancesNHS England | 2,487,580July 2026 | up 2.0% on June 2026 | highest value among the 72 periods in the series, which begins in August 2020 | August 202072 periods | 13 August 2026 |
| Adult proven reoffending rateMinistry of Justice | 29.7%2024 Q3 | up 0.3 points on 2024 Q2 | highest value among the 36 periods in the series, which begins in 2015 Q4 | 2015 Q436 periods | 30 July 2026 |
| Asylum-related returnsHome Office | 12,568Year ending June 2026 | up 1.4% on 2025 | highest value among the 18 periods in the series, which begins in 2010 | 201018 periods | 27 August 2026 |
| Average Band D council taxMHCLG | £2,280Year ending March 2026 | up 5.0% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 15 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2012 | Year ending March 201215 periods | 25 March 2026 |
| Average house priceHM Land Registry | £272,188June 2026 | up 0.1% on May 2026 | highest value among the 699 periods in the series, which begins in April 1968 | April 1968699 periods | 20 August 2026 |
| Average private rent a monthONS | £1,393July 2026 | up 0.4% on June 2026 | highest value among the 139 periods in the series, which begins in January 2015 | January 2015139 periods | 19 August 2026 |
| Average secondary class sizeDepartment for Education | 22.62025/26 academic year | up 0.4% on 2024/25 academic year | highest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Average weekly payONS | £7532026 Q2 | up 0.7% on 2026 Q1 | highest value among the 106 periods in the series, which begins in 2000 Q1 | 2000 Q1106 periods | 17 August 2026 |
| Band D council tax in ScotlandScottish Government | £1,543Year ending March 2026 | up 8.8% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 30 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1997 | Year ending March 199730 periods | 31 March 2026 |
| Benefit expenditure on pensionersDWP | £164.9bnYear ending March 2025 | up 6.3% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 47 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1979 | Year ending March 197947 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Benefit expenditure on working-age peopleDWP | £119.8bnYear ending March 2025 | up 10.0% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 47 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1979 | Year ending March 197947 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Capital Gains Tax receiptsHMRC | £24.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 77.6% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Carer's Allowance caseloadDWP | 1,325,000Year ending March 2025 | up 5.3% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Carer's Allowance expenditureDWP | £4.2bnYear ending March 2025 | up 13.4% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Consumer Prices IndexONS | 142.9July 2026 | up 0.3% on June 2026 | highest value among the 463 periods in the series, which begins in January 1988 | January 1988463 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: health (division 06)ONS | 143.9July 2026 | up 0.4% on June 2026 | highest value among the 463 periods in the series, which begins in January 1988 | January 1988463 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (division 04)ONS | 153.2July 2026 | up 2.3% on June 2026 | highest value among the 463 periods in the series, which begins in January 1988 | January 1988463 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: miscellaneous goods and services (division 12)ONS | 126.6July 2026 | up 0.1% on June 2026 | highest value among the 463 periods in the series, which begins in January 1988 | January 1988463 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Consumer Prices Index: restaurants and hotels (division 11)ONS | 157July 2026 | up 0.1% on June 2026 | highest value among the 463 periods in the series, which begins in January 1988 | January 1988463 periods | 18 August 2026 |
| Corporation Tax receiptsHMRC | £95.1bnYear ending March 2026 | up 4.6% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Crimes and offences recorded in Scotland per 10,000 peopleScottish Government | 568.5Year ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 10 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2017 | Year ending March 201710 periods | 23 June 2026 |
| Crimes recorded by the police in ScotlandScottish Government | 315,357Year ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 10 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2017 | Year ending March 201710 periods | 23 June 2026 |
| Disability benefits caseloadDWP | 6,531,000Year ending March 2025 | up 9.6% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 52 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1974 | Year ending March 197452 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Disability benefits expenditureDWP | £41.7bnYear ending March 2025 | up 17.5% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Employment forecastsOBR | 33,615,5002024 | up 0.8% on 2023 | highest value among the 16 periods in the series, which begins in 2009 | 200916 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| GDP per head, real termsONS | £10,2342026 Q2 | up 0.4% on 2026 Q1 | highest value among the 286 periods in the series, which begins in 1955 Q1 | 1955 Q1286 periods | 12 August 2026 |
| Great Britain populationONS | 67,353,5822024 | up 1.1% on 2023 | highest value among the 88 periods in the series, which begins in 1937 | 193788 periods | 26 September 2025 |
| Gross domestic product, real termsONS | £712.5bn2026 Q2 | up 0.4% on 2026 Q1 | highest value among the 286 periods in the series, which begins in 1955 Q1 | 1955 Q1286 periods | 12 August 2026 |
| Housing support expenditureDWP | £36bnYear ending March 2025 | up 11.9% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Incapacity benefits caseloadDWP | 3,549,000Year ending March 2025 | up 7.8% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Incapacity benefits expenditureDWP | £29.7bnYear ending March 2025 | up 17.1% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Income tax forecastsOBR | £305.9bnYear ending March 2025 | up 10.4% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 17 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2009 | Year ending March 200917 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Income Tax receiptsHMRC | £326.9bnYear ending March 2026 | up 8.0% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Inheritance Tax receiptsHMRC | £8.5bnYear ending March 2026 | up 2.6% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Licensed carsDepartment for Transport | 34,627,4142026 Q1 | up 0.4% on 2025 Q4 | highest value among the 47 periods in the series, which begins in 2014 Q3 | 2014 Q347 periods | 15 July 2026 |
| Licensed vehiclesDepartment for Transport | 42,448,4812026 Q1 | up 0.4% on 2025 Q4 | highest value among the 47 periods in the series, which begins in 2014 Q3 | 2014 Q347 periods | 15 July 2026 |
| Magistrates' court open casesMinistry of Justice | 370,7222026 Q1 | up 1.6% on 2025 Q4 | highest value among the 29 periods in the series, which begins in 2019 Q1 | 2019 Q129 periods | 25 June 2026 |
| Median annual pay, full-time employees, by area of residenceONS | £39,0392025 | up 4.3% on 2024 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in 2002 | 200224 periods | 23 October 2025 |
| Median weekly pay, full-time employees, by area of residenceONS | £7672025 | up 5.3% on 2024 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in 2002 | 200224 periods | 23 October 2025 |
| National Insurance receiptsHMRC | £200.8bnYear ending March 2026 | up 16.4% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Net social benefits paidONS | £29.8bnJuly 2026 | up 3.0% on June 2026 | highest value among the 352 periods in the series, which begins in April 1997 | April 1997352 periods | 20 August 2026 |
| People in employmentONS | 34,469,0002026 Q2 | up 0.2% on 2026 Q1 | highest value among the 222 periods in the series, which begins in 1971 Q1 | 1971 Q1222 periods | 17 August 2026 |
| Possession of weapons (police-recorded)ONS | 62,347Year ending March 2026 | up 8.0% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Proven reoffending rateMinistry of Justice | 29.9%2024 Q3 | up 0.3 points on 2024 Q2 | highest value among the 36 periods in the series, which begins in 2015 Q4 | 2015 Q436 periods | 30 July 2026 |
| Pupils on SEN support, shareDepartment for Education | 14.8%2025/26 academic year | up 0.6 points on 2024/25 academic year | highest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Pupils with an education, health and care planDepartment for Education | 538,5472025/26 academic year | up 11.6% on 2024/25 academic year | highest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Pupils with an EHC plan, shareDepartment for Education | 6%2025/26 academic year | up 0.7 points on 2024/25 academic year | highest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Receipts forecasts, £ billionOBR | £1.14tnYear ending March 2025 | up 3.9% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 36 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1990 | Year ending March 199036 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Severe absenceDepartment for Education | 2.4%2024/25 academic year | up 0.1 points on 2023/24 academic year | highest value among the 18 periods in the series, which begins in 2006/07 academic year | 2006/07 academic year18 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Sexual offences (police-recorded)ONS | 217,567Year ending March 2026 | up 4.0% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Spending forecasts, £ billionOBR | £1.29tnYear ending March 2025 | up 5.0% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 36 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1990 | Year ending March 199036 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Spending on defenceHM Treasury | £65.4bnYear ending March 2026 | up 2.7% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on educationHM Treasury | £125.7bnYear ending March 2026 | up 2.2% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on environment protectionHM Treasury | £19.2bnYear ending March 2026 | up 11.0% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on healthHM Treasury | £257.5bnYear ending March 2026 | up 6.2% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on housing and community amenitiesHM Treasury | £22.5bnYear ending March 2026 | up 3.7% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on public order and safetyHM Treasury | £55.7bnYear ending March 2026 | up 7.5% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on public order and safety, real termsHM Treasury | £55.7bnYear ending March 2026 | up 4.1% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on social protectionHM Treasury | £407.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Spending on social protection, real termsHM Treasury | £407.3bnYear ending March 2026 | up 1.9% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| State Pension caseloadDWP | 12,987,000Year ending March 2025 | up 1.7% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 70 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1956 | Year ending March 195670 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| State Pension expenditureDWP | £136.6bnYear ending March 2025 | up 10.1% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Total benefit expenditureDWP | £289.3bnYear ending March 2025 | up 8.0% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Total benefit expenditure, real termsDWP | £304.7bnYear ending March 2025 | up 3.8% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 77 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1949 | Year ending March 194977 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Total HMRC receiptsHMRC | £937.8bnYear ending March 2026 | up 9.2% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Total managed expenditureHM Treasury | £1.36tnYear ending March 2026 | up 5.4% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| Total managed expenditure, real termsHM Treasury | £1.36tnYear ending March 2026 | up 1.9% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 2 September 2026 |
| UK populationONS | 69,281,4372024 | up 1.1% on 2023 | highest value among the 156 periods in the series, which begins in 1851 | 1851156 periods | 26 September 2025 |
| VAT forecastsOBR | £173.3bnYear ending March 2025 | up 3.0% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 17 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2009 | Year ending March 200917 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| VAT receiptsHMRC | £179.9bnYear ending March 2026 | up 5.2% on Year ending March 2025 | highest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Welfare spending forecastsOBR | £314.8bnYear ending March 2025 | up 6.2% on Year ending March 2024 | highest value among the 15 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2011 | Year ending March 201115 periods | 26 March 2026 |
Lowest in the series 9
The latest value is the lowest of every period in the series since its last methodology break; the series' start is named.
| Series | Latest | The move | Rule as applied | Checked from | Published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average primary class sizeDepartment for Education | 26.12025/26 academic year | down 1.2% on 2024/25 academic year | lowest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of all crime (excluding fraud)ONS | 4,333,000Year ending March 2026 | down 5.7% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 31 periods in the series, which begins in 1981 | 198131 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of theftONS | 2,628,000Year ending March 2026 | down 6.2% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 31 periods in the series, which begins in 1981 | 198131 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Crime Survey estimate of violenceONS | 989,000Year ending March 2026 | down 10.3% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 31 periods in the series, which begins in 1981 | 198131 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Criminal damage and arson (police-recorded)ONS | 456,843Year ending March 2026 | down 1.3% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 23 July 2026 |
| Housing support caseloadDWP | 2,072,000Year ending March 2025 | down 11.9% on Year ending March 2024 | lowest value among the 47 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 1979 | Year ending March 197947 periods | 26 March 2026 |
| Pupils in primary school classesDepartment for Education | 3,974,1322025/26 academic year | down 2.7% on 2024/25 academic year | lowest value among the 11 periods in the series, which begins in 2015/16 academic year | 2015/16 academic year11 periods | 4 August 2026 |
| Tobacco duty receiptsHMRC | £7.6bnYear ending March 2026 | down 4.5% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 20 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2007 | Year ending March 200720 periods | 21 August 2026 |
| Vehicle offences (police-recorded)ONS | 312,250Year ending March 2026 | down 10.8% on Year ending March 2025 | lowest value among the 24 periods in the series, which begins in Year ending March 2003 | Year ending March 200324 periods | 23 July 2026 |
How this page is made
The rules run over every national series with at least ten periods since its last methodology break, on the newest published figure for each period, with forecast periods removed. A methodology break ends the history a rule may look across, so a “first fall since” never reaches past one. Ties are not records. The order within a rule is the rule’s own lookback or size, longest and largest first.
Related: what is changing · what changed this month · local records · trajectory bands.